Equilibrium Exchange Rates: a Guidebook for the Euro-Dollar Rate     
    
    
Agnès Bénassy-Quéré
Sophie Béreau
Valérie Mignon
    Agnès Bénassy-Quéré
Sophie Béreau
Valérie Mignon
 Points clés :
 Points clés :
     Résumé :
 Résumé :In this paper, we investigate different views of equilibrium exchange rates within a single, stock-flow adjustment framework. We then compare FEER and BEER estimations of equilibrium exchange rates based on the same, econometric model of the net foreign asset position, with special focus on the euro-dollar rate. These estimations suggest that, although more robust to alternative assumptions, the BEER approach may rely on excessive confidence on past behaviors in terms of portfolio allocation. Symmetrically, FEERs may underestimate the plasticity of international capital markets because they focus on the adjustment of the trade balance.
 Mots-clés :
Taux de change d'équilibre | Euro-dollar | FEER | BEER | Déséquilibres mondiaux
 Mots-clés :
Taux de change d'équilibre | Euro-dollar | FEER | BEER | Déséquilibres mondiaux
 JEL : 
F31, C23
 JEL : 
F31, C23
    
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