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  N° 2004-04 CEPII Working Paper
April 2004
Trade in the Triad: How Easy is the Access to Large Markets?
Lionel Fontagné
Thierry Mayer
Soledad Zignago
 
We attempt in this paper to identify the level of trade integration between the three largest economic powers of the world, often called the Triad: The United States, the EU and Japan. We focus on measuring possible asymmetries in market access between members of the Triad using border effects between each of those partners. We investigate trends of bilateral trade openness and show notably that there has recently been a deterioration of the relative access of Japanese exporters on both the American and EU markets. Results also show which industries have the most asymmetric market access among the different combinations of those partners. We finally try to explain the estimated border effects with proxies for bilateral observed protection (tariffs and NTBs), home bias of consumers, product differentiation and levels of FDI. Tariffs still matter in shaping trade patterns even in cases where those tariffs are low in magnitude. The explanations related to actual protection, home bias and substitutability of goods put together explain a large part of the border effect between blocs of the triad, although they do not explain the whole of the border effect puzzle. Abstract
   
Border effects; European Union; Gravity Keywords
F12; F15 JEL classification
   
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